WhoScored – Update 17

Champions League

It was the case of a game of two halves for the WhoScored predictions this week in the Champions League matches. On Tuesday they guessed the right result in 6 of the 8 games and got the score correct in 2 of the matches. At that stage they were showing a combined profit of +8.92 points and it looked like they may have their 1st profitable week of Champions League matches.

Alas Wednesday didn’t fair so well, with only 4 correct results and no correct scores, which meant over the 2 days they made a profit of +0.66 points for the result predictions, but a loss of -2.5 points on the correct scores.

The combined loss of -1.84 points brought their final overall loss for the group matches to -41.25 points.

Monday sees the draw for the round of 16 matches, which will commence in February, so I’ll be looking to see if they can improve the performance in the knockout stages of the cup.

WhoScored – Update 13

The Championship

WhoScored were unable to keep going their fine run of correct score predictions in the Championship matches. It had seen them make nearly +70 points profit over the past 4 weeks. They were correct in their prediction that Middlesbrough would beat Birmingham 2-0, but the odds weren’t great enough to stop them making a loss of -4.5 points across the 12 games. Not surprisingly they didn’t get the correct score in Fulham’s 5-4 away win at Sheff Utd.

Things were a bit better on the correct result bets, which they got correct in half the games and resulted in a +0.49 point profit.

A combined loss of -4.01 points reduced their overall profit to +67.29 points on all predictions since I started monitoring results.

Champions League

It wasn’t too bad a week for their Champions League match predictions and by that I mean only a small loss was made. Their correct score predictions actually made a profit for the first time +2.16 points, but Tottenham’s 2-1 away win at Borussia Dortmund was the only correct score, which gave a loss of -4 points and a combined loss of -1.84 points.

Their predictions in rounds 3, 4 and 5 haven’t been too bad, with just a -1 point loss on the correct results and -7 points for the correct scores, but unfortunately the major damage was done in rounds 1 and 2 (when there wasn’t much current form to go on).

Overall they’re currently showing a combined loss of -39.41 points on all their Champions League match predictions.

WhoScored – Update 10

The Championship

It’s been a fantastic week for any betting on the correct score predictions in the Championship from WhoScored. Following on from the 12 points profit they made at the weekend. They correctly predicted the score in 3 of the 12 mid-week matches, giving 33 points profit.

On top of that they got the result right in 7 of the 12 games, 6 of which were away wins, giving them an additional 7.82 points.

The combined mid-week profit of 40.82 points, sees their overall profit on Championship matches increase to 45.92 points, since I started monitoring their performance.

Champions League

Not such good fortune in the Champions League matches, where they continue to struggle with their predictions. They only got the correct result in half of the 16 group matches, which gave a loss of -2.15 points. Of those they only got the correct score in 2 games, which gave an additional -3 point loss.

Overall this brings their combined loss to -37.57 points in all the group matches so far.

WhoScored – Update 7

Champions League

It pretty much remained as you were for the WhoScored Champions League predictions. They guessed the correct result in half of the matches, including Tottenham getting a draw at Real Madrid, which produced a small loss of 1.02 points.

Of the results they predicted correctly, they got the correct score in two of the games. With Feyenoord losing 2-1 at home to Shakhtar Donetsk and Bayern Munich beating Celtic 3-0, they wiped their face (as the guy off treasure hunt would say) on the correct scores.

Overall that brings their combined loss to -32.42 points after 3 rounds of Champions League games, so they’ll be hoping to do better in the reverse set of group matches.

Paddy Power – 2 Up You Win! Offer

One of the distinctive features of betting with Paddy Power is the ‘Money Back Specials’ they offer on a range of different sports betting markets.

One such offer is their 2 Up You Win offer, which has been running from the start of the football and continues up until 31st December.

The offer applies to all Premier League, La Liga and Champions League group stage games. If you have a pre-match single bet on their win-draw-win betting market and the team you’ve backed goes up by 2 goals at any point during the game, they’ll pay out as a winning bet, regardless of whether your team goes on to draw or lose the game. For obvious reasons the offer does not apply to bets placed on the Draw selection in each game.

The offer applies to all Online, Mobile, Phone and Text bets, but not those placed in their retail shops.

How Good Is The Offer?

I thought it would be interesting to see how many times so far this season they’d have paid out on a team that didn’t then go on to win the match.

English Premier League
Surprisingly, so far there’s not been any games where a team has gone 2 goals up and not gone on to win the game.

Spanish La Liga
There have been 2 games so far where Paddy Power have paid out on a team that didn’t actually win the match:

  • 19th August – Girona went 2-0 up inside 25 minutes against Atletico Madrid, before a late fight back from Atletico saw the game finish as a 2-2 draw.
  • 26th August – Deportivo de La Coruna went 2-0 up away to Levante, after 31 minutes. Levante pulled a goal back a few minutes later and scored a late equalizer, but anyone backing Deportivo with Paddy Power wouldn’t have cared, as the winnings would have already been sitting in their account.

Champions League
There were no matches in round 1 of the group stages, where a team went 2 goals up, but didn’t go on to win the game.


So far there’s been just the 2 matches where backers would have benefited by placing their bets with Paddy Power, but I’ll keep an eye on things and check what other games they end up paying out on by the end of the year.

WhoScored Update 1

Mid-week results haven’t really gone WhoScored’s way in either the Championship or the Champions League.

The Championship

Their results for The Championship were excellent at the weekend and they carried through an overall profit of 11.05 points, from combined result and correct score bets. I therefore had high hopes coming into the mid-week games.

There were just 10 matches played, as Barnsley’s Carabao Cup match against Derby meant their respective league matches were postponed. Of the 10 games, they only managed 3 correct results and didn’t get the correct score in any of them. This gave a loss of 2.52 points on their result predictions and a loss of 10 points on their correct scores.

So combined that’s -12.52 points for the mid-week games and overall they’re now showing a loss of 1.47 for their Championship predictions since I started monitoring them.

The Champions League

They didn’t fair any better with their Champions League predictions. They managed the correct result in 7 of the 16 games, but all except the RB Leipzig v Monaco were short prices, so the chalked up a loss of 5.23 over the two days.

They correctly predicted the 3-0 score for the Bayern Munich v Anderlect game, but that was the only match they got spot on, so a loss of 9 points for the correct score predictions, giving a combined loss of 14.23 points.

They only have previews up for a couple of the Europa Cup matches, so I’ll not bother monitoring them, but I’ll report back again next week with how they get on in the weekend’s Premier League and Championship games.

Profit from red cards, injuries and players who never score

Matt Houghton at Betting Rant has written an interesting article about the world of sports spread betting and a new service that’ll be launching soon, called SpreadJacker, run by a guy called Adam Cheng.

The market that SpreadJacker will be focusing on is unlike any other. Rather than betting on the outcome of a match, you’ll be betting on individual performance of a specific player.

This means everything the player does contributes to how much you win or lose and because the bet lasts the whole match (assuming the player doesn’t get subbed, injured or sent off) you’re firmly fixed to the action regardless of what the score is.

Players earn points based upon what they do in the game (e.g. shots, assists, goals and passes made in the oppositions half of the pitch). The points are worked out by OPTA, so everything is independently accessed, not set by the spread betting firms.

Most live games are covered by the spread betting firms Sporting Index and Spreadex.

Click the image below to read Matt’s full article, or see a video interview by Core Sport with Adam Cheng at:

Profit from red cards, injuries and players who never score

Champions League Preview: Group E – Group H

Groups E through H will showcase some former winners of the Champions League in Liverpool and Borussia Dortmund, along with the two-time reigning Cup holders Real Madrid. The four groups have some very intriguing ties on tap, and an underdog or two could qualify for the knockout stages.

Group E

Liverpool headline group E and many pundits have already professed this group to be a walk in the park for the five-time winners. Sevilla, Maribor and Spartak Moscow round out the group. Although Liverpool look like the class of group E with their brilliant attack, Sevilla should never be looked past. The Spaniards defeated Liverpool in the Europa League final in 2016, and winning on home soil isn’t hard to believe. Maribor and Spartak aren’t expected to do much. Perhaps a berth in the Europa League as a top third place finisher could be the best either side can hope for in the group stage. Both teams could be a bit more difficult than expected as Liverpool and Sevilla must travel to eastern Europe to face off with them. Could either Maribor or Spartak upset one of the big two?

Odds to win the group: Liverpool 4/7, Sevilla 15/8, Spartak 9/1, NK Maribor 50/1

Group F

On the face of it, Manchester City will be expected to walk through group F. However, Feyenoord, Napoli and Shakhtar Donetsk will offer stiff competition against Pep Guardiola’s side. City have once again spent big, but the team’s performances in the Premier League thus far, shouldn’t fill anyone with confidence they can win the Champions League. The defence is supposed to be better this term, but that will be determined against free-flowing Napoli on October 17. The Italians will be reliant on Dries Mertens to get the goals, and Napoli do not have the fire power that City possesses. Feyenoord are the reigning Dutch champions, and the team have started the league season well with nine points from nine. Meanwhile Shakhtar are leading the way in Ukraine, but the competition in Europe will far exceed anything they have faced this term.

Odds to win the group: Manchester City 8/15, Napoli 13/5, Shakhtar 8/1, Feyenoord 14/1

Group G

Group G looks like the most exciting group in the Champions League, and perhaps, the hardest to pick. Germany’s high-fliers RB Leipzig are entering their first voyage in Europe. In just their second top-flight season, Leipzig could cause a stir and make it to the knockout stages. The team have kept all their core players and they will be gunning to knock off the more established sides. France’s Monaco are also in group G. Despite selling numerous players from last season’s Ligue 1 winning team, Monaco have replaced those parts and have looked electric on the domestic side thus far. Their recent 6-1 mauling of Marseille was proof Monaco are still just as good as ever. Porto are the most established side in the group, but the 2004 winners aren’t the same team they were just a few seasons ago. New manager Sergio Conceicao is expected to get the team back to the top of Portugal, and a Champions League run could suffer for that to happen. Besiktas are being treated as an afterthought in this group and it is unknow whether the Turkish team can hang with the fast-paced teams in the group.

Odds to win the group: Monaco 5/4, RB Leipzig 5/2, Porto 11/4, Besiktas 8/1

Group H

The final group of the Champions League looks like an exciting one. Real Madrid, Borussia Dortmund, APOEL and Tottenham Hotspur make up this group of death. One big side, sorry APOEL, will be going home after the group stages. Tottenham have been awful at Wembley, and Spurs will be calling it home during the Champions League. Madrid are a force, and have put together one of the most talented teams ever. Their only problem could be depth as the team looks a little thin if injuries occur. Dortmund have a new coach, Peter Bosz, and the team have been very exciting to watch under him. The players look reinvigorated with Bosz at the helm compared to last year under Thomas Tuchel. Poor APOEL will be the whipping boys in the group and three big clubs will be battling it out for just two places.

Odds to win the group: Real Madrid 2/5, Borussia Dortmund 15/4, Tottenham 9/2, APOEL Nicosia 250/1

* All odds courtesy of bet365.

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Champions League Preview: Group A – Group D

The Champions League 2017 kicks off on September 12th and 13th as teams across Europe begin the tournament proper. Real Madrid have won the last two Champions League tournaments, but can the Spanish giants make it three in a row?

This year’s tournament has thrown up some interesting match ups in the group stages, and a big name could find themselves out of the competition early on.

Group A

Group A features the return to the competition of Manchester United, who qualified for the Champions League by virtue of winning the Europa League last season. The Red Devils will be up against Portugal’s Benfica, Basel from Switzerland and CSKA Moscow. On paper, the Red Devils should really go through, but under the surface, group A looks a little more challenging. Bookmakers have Manchester United and Benfica coming out of this group while Basel and CSKA are expected to struggle. If United can continue the good defensive form they have shown in the Premier League, they should have no difficulty in moving to the knockout stages.

Odds to win the group:  Manchester United: 4/11, Benfica: 7/2, Basel: 12/1, CSKA Moscow: 12/1

Group B

Group B features two former Champions League winners in Bayern Munich and Celtic (when it was the European cup). The group is rounded out by Paris Saint-Germain and Anderlecht. Bayern are the big hitters in group B, but the arrival of Neymar at PSG has many believing this will be the Parisian club’s year to win the trophy. PSG are good, but winning the European cup takes more than one expensive player. Celtic and Anderlecht don’t have the expensive talent that the other two sides have, but that doesn’t mean either will be a pushover. Yes, there are long odds on them topping the group, and Bayern’s strength should prove too much. The real fireworks will come on September 27 when Bayern travel to Paris to play PSG. The two will play again on December 5 in their last match of the group stages in Munich. Top of group B could be up for grabs on the final day.

Odds to win the group:  Bayern Munich: 4/5, PSG: 10/11, Anderlecht: 66/1, Celtic: 66/1

Group C

Group C is a possible group of death with Atletico Madrid, Chelsea, Roma and Qarabag making it up. Atletico have been under a transfer ban and could find the competition difficult without any new, fresh players until January. The team have started the La Liga season in decent form, gaining four points from a possible six. Chelsea have been a bit up and down already, losing to Burnley at home before winning against Tottenham and Everton. Perhaps they have sorted themselves out, but could find playing in the Champions League difficult after being out of the tournament a season ago. Roma have overhauled their squad with plenty of new faces, but the Italians should challenge for qualification to the knockout stage. Qarabag are the unknown team after qualify in the playoff round. The team from Azerbaijan have been on a tremendous upward trajectory, but beating any of the three other teams in the group may be unlikely.

Odds to win the group:  Chelsea: 11/10, Atletico: 11/8, Roma: 4/1, Qarabag: 100/1

Group D

The finalists from 2015, Barcelona and Juventus, will meet in group D. They will be joined by Sporting and Olympiakos. Barcelona were shaken up in the offseason with the sale of Neymar. However, the club have tried to reinvest their money into talented attackers. Ousmane Dembele and Paulinho have both arrived to fill the void. Barcelona will get tested right from the start as the Catalans battle Juventus on matchday 1. Juventus have also been shaken up heading into the season as the club lost veteran defender Leonardo Bonucci. A host of new players have arrived, but can the Bianconeri return to the heights they experienced in 2015? Sporting and Olympiakos will be expected to just make up the numbers. No one is expecting either to make it through, and a good third place finish could get one of them into the Europa League after the New Year.

Odds to win the group:  Barcelona: 4/6, Juventus: 6/5, Sporting: 33/1, Olympiakos: 100/1

* All odds courtesy of bet365.

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UEFA Champions League Winner: Who has the best odds to lift the cup?

The Champions League group stage draw is complete and 32 teams now know their group game fate. The tournament’s group stage will kick off on September 12th and before long, 32 teams will be whittled down to 16.

Real Madrid are the reigning Champions League title holders and have won three of the last four competitions. The team have already secured the UEFA Super Cup and the Spanish Super Cup this term; and Madrid will be gunning for yet another European title. Thirty-one other teams will hope they can knock off the cup holders, but will any of them have a shot at beating out the 12-time champions?

The Big Four

Real Madrid 

Real Madrid have been eyed by bookmakers as the favourite of the tournament, and why not? The team have arguably the best player in the world – Cristiano Ronaldo – and the team are incredibly strong in all positions. Madrid were able to let midfielder James Rodriguez go to Bayern Munich, Danilo to Manchester City and will most likely sell Mateo Kovacic, yet the club are still stacked with talent. Ronaldo finished last Champions League as the top scorer, so adding him to a betting slip finish top again this term would be a clever piece of wagering.

Real Madrid to win 4/1 Bet Victor, Paddy Power
Ronaldo Top Goal Scorer 6/1 bet365


Beaten in the quarterfinals last year by Juventus, Barcelona look to be at the end of a player cycle. The team will still challenge for the Spanish title and be tough to beat in the Champions League, but Barcelona don’t look as strong as they did a few years ago. Of course, Lionel Messi is still the main man, but Neymar has joined Paris Saint-Germain for an incredible €222 million. The club are attempting to replace him, but the addition of Paulinho does little to make up for the loss. Neymar led the Champions League in assists last term, and he teed up Messi for quite a few of his 11 goals.

Barcelona to win 7/1 Bet Victor

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich have all the makings of a team that can win the Champions League. Last term, the Germans just came up against a much stronger Madrid side, and were dumped from the tournament. This year could be different as Bayern look as cool and clinical as ever. Carlo Ancelotti is one of the best coaches in Europe, and his attack, anchored by Robert Lewandowski, is one of the most potent in the competition. Bayern will make it deep into the tournament, whether they can get past the quarters will be the biggest question.

Bayern Munich to win 7/1 Betfred

Paris Saint-Germain 

With the arrival of Neymar as PSG’s main attacker, plenty of football pundits believe it could be the Parisians’ season in Europe. No French team have won the Champions League since 1992-93, and PSG could be the first now that they have Neymar. One player won’t completely change the team’s fortunes, however. PSG may have to dump a few players, good players, to justify his signing with UEFA’s Financial Fair Play. Angel Di Maria is already one casualty and more are expected in the next week. PSG had a brilliant chance to make it to the quarterfinals last season, but the team experienced the greatest capitulation in Champions League history as they gave up six goals in the second leg. Coach Unai Emery, for all of his tactical knowhow, shouldn’t feel bettors with excitement as he leads the team forward.

Paris St Germain to win 15/2 888 Sport

Do you think 1 of the Big 4 will win this years Champions League, or maybe 1 of the 5 English teams can win it. Let us know in the comments below.

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