Football League fixtures for 2018/19 announced

Today saw the release of the English Football League fixtures for the 2018/19 season. First match of the season will see Derby travel to Reading on Friday August 3rd in one of 4 Championship matches being shown live on Sky over the first weekend of the new season.

Also live will be Sheffield United at home to Swansea in an early evening kickoff on the Saturday, followed by Leeds at home to Stoke on Sunday and Hull v Aston Villa in the Monday night match.

The regular season will run through to 5th May 2019 with the Championship play-off final 27th May. For a full list of Championship fixtures see:
http://www.skysports.com/football/news/11688/11409697/sky-bet-championship-fixtures-2018-19

Stoke and West Brom are joint favourites to win the Championship at 6/1 with BetVictor followed by Middlesbrough at 8/1 and Swansea & Leeds at 10/1.

Favourites to be relegated are Bolton and Rotherham.

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Premier League fixtures for 2018/19 announced

The Premier League fixtures for next season have been announced. The new season kicks off on Saturday 11th August 2018 and the highlight of the opening day fixtures sees Arsenal play hosts to last season’s Champions Manchester City.

It also sees Manchester United at home to Leicester and last season’s Championship winners Wolves kick off life back in the Premier League with a home match against Everton.

The other teams back in the Premier see Cardiff travel to Bournemouth, while Fulham entertain Crystal Palace.

Unsurprisingly Man City are favourites at 4/6 with Betfair to retain their title, with Liverpool second at 5/1, followed by Man Utd 13/2, Chelsea 11/1, Tottenham 12/1 and Arsenal 30/1.

Favourites to be relegated are Cardiff, along with Huddersfield and Fulham.

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For the full list of fixtures see https://www.premierleague.com/news/720651

MA17 CTY v MA17 UTD

Forget the Premier League, the Champions League and the FA Cup. Thursday 23rd November see’s the most important match-up of the season, when Man City take on Man Utd in an unlikely fixture at Wychwood Park near Crewe.

For anyone wishing to show their undying support for either of the two Manchester clubs, it’s an opportunity to put your money where your mouth is and purchase either of these novelty car registration plates.

Both plates are listed for auction with a guide price of £700, but my guess is they’ll sell for a lot more than that. The question is which will reach the highest price. The outcome is sure to prove once and for all, which of the 2 clubs is the best supported team in Manchester and provide fans with bragging rights for many years to come.

With their huge pay packets, players often struggle to spend all the money they earn, so what better way could they find than to adorn their Bentley, Aston Martin or Ferrari with such a plate and show their allegiance to their club?

Going into the match-up Manchester United hold the advantage, as their lot will come up for sale after that of Manchester City’s, so they’ll know the price they have to beat, when bidding in this one off event.

Details of the auction can be found at http://www.dvlaauction.co.uk/index.php/live-auction/. The event will be streamed live, exclusively from the DVLA webcam (unless there’s a bidding war between Sky Sorts and BT Sports to screen it live).

If you wish to bid for either plate, you can do so either in person, by going to the auction or via phone, Internet, sms or absentee bid.

Bear in Mind that either plate can only be put on a car that’s registered on or after March 2017. It is illegal to alter the spacing on car registration plates to make numbers look more like letters.

 

Sky Bet EFL 2017/18 Fixtures Released Tomorrow

The English football league fixtures are released at 9:00am tomorrow (21st June) and you can see them as soon as they’re announced via the Sky Sports website:
http://www.skysports.com/football/news/11095/10920987/sky-bet-efl-201718-fixtures-follow-championship-league-one-league-two-announcement-with-sky-sports

Clubs in all three divisions will discover their curtain-raisers, run-ins, Christmas programme and derby dates. When will Sheffield Wednesday and Sheffield United resume their rivalries, when will Garry Monk heads back to Elland Road (likely to get a hostile welcome) and who will Forest Green face in their first ever league fixture?

Sky will also be announcing their live EFL selection for the opening weekend of August 4th – 6th, as the full schedules are released. In total they’ll be showing 127 matches for the 2017/18 season, including all the play-off games.

Improve Profits For Over 1.5 Goals Bet

Yesterday I showed you how I rolled my Over 1.5 Goals bet winnings over from one match to the next in order to return a profit of over £50 from an initial £10 stake.

Today I’ll show you a simple technique using the Betfair in-play market that could have increased those profits.

If you were placing a straight forward accumulator bet on a group of matches, it wouldn’t be possible to use this method, as all the bets would need to be placed prior to the games kicking off, but as the method I mentioned yesterday involves rolling the winnings from one bet on to the next, the following method can increase the bet returns.

There are 2 ways in which you can use the in-play market to increase your odds.

One would be to sit in front of your computer screen, while the game is being played and placing your bet at a time when you feel the odds have reached a level you’re happy with. This method can work well, but it does involve being at your computer at a certain time, which isn’t always possible to do, as life often gets in the way.

My preferred way is to place the bet via Betfair, prior to the match, but rather than accept the odds on offer, place the bet at odds 3 or 4 points higher than those currently available. Once the bet’s been placed, you have the option to keep it live when the game goes in-play.

By asking for odds only slightly higher than those available prior to the match, the bet will typically then get matched in the first few minutes of the game, so unless there’s a really early goal scored (which doesn’t happen that often) there’ll be no problem getting your bet matched.

As an example, lets look back at how the odds changed early on in Sunday’s game between Bournemouth and Liverpool.

Before the game Over 1.5 Goals could be backed at odds of 1.25. Let’s say that rather than accepting those odds, you placed a back bet at 1.29 (4 points higer).

bournemouthliverpool

5 minutes into the game and despite Liverpool starting the game strongly, Over 1.5 Goals could now be backed at odds of 1.3, so our back bet of 1.29 would have easily been matched by this point.

bournemouthliverpool5

Liverpool continued to be strong in attack, so the odds didn’t move a great deal over the next 5 minutes.

bournemouthliverpool10

Despite Liverpool continuing to dominate the game, they’d not scored by the 15th minute, so the odds had started to drift further.

bournemouthliverpool15

Liverpool scored in the 19th minute, by which time the odds had drifted out to 1.4.

bournemouthliverpool19

At which time the odds crashed down to 1.09.

bournemouthliverpool20

2 minutes later Liverpool scored their second and the bet was won.

Liverpool were completely dominating the game at that point and looked to be heading for the win, but a late rally from Bournemouth saw them win the game 4-3.

bournemouthliverpool22

So despite there being 7 goals in the game, it was still possible to easily enhance the odds on the Over 1.5 Goals bet, early in the game, as the early odds drifted.

You may say, well it’s only 4 points better, so is it really worth it, especially when there’s a small risk a goal will be scored before the bet gets matched. Well let’s take a look at what those 4 points represent.

Prior to the match the bet could have been backed at 1.25. So 0.04 equates to getting 16% better odds. When rolling the winnings over from one bet to the next, the compound effect can make a significant difference to the profits.

In the example above it would have been possible to have had the bet matched at odds up as high as 1.40, but the higher you ask for the longer into the match it will take to get the bet matched and then you run the risk of a goal being scored before your bet is matched.

Over 1.5 Goals £50 Target

In a post last week I mentioned setting yourself a profit target when betting on Over 1.5 Goals. The idea being to take your winnings from one match and roll it on to the next and so on until you hit your profit target. I suggested starting with a £10 bet with a £50 target.

To better illustrate the point, here’s a sequence of Over 1.5 Goals bets I placed over the weekend.

over1point5goals

As you can see from the screen shot from my Betfair account, I started with the early kickoff on Saturday between Man City & Chelsea, placing a £10 bet at odds of 1.27. The bet won £2.70, minus the Betfair commission of £0.14, giving a profit of £2.56.

I added the £2.56 to my original stake of £10 and placed a bet of £12.56 on the 3:00 pm game between Birmingham & Barnsley at odds of 1.31, which returned a profit of £3.70.

I then added the £3.70 to my stake and bet £16.26 on the 5:30 pm game between West Ham and Arsenal and the winnings from that rolled on to the 7:45 pm game between Juventus & Atalanta. By the end of Saturday my £10 bet had increased to £26.26.

On Sunday I bet the £26.26 on the 1:30 pm game between Bournemouth & Liverpool. Thanks to a couple of early Liverpool goals, I was then able to take the winnings and bet it on the 2:00 pm FA Cup game between Bolton & Sheff Utd (a great thing about the Over 1.5 Goals bet is you don’t have to wait until the end of the match for the bet to be settled).

My last bet of the sequence came in the 5:30 pm kick off in La Liga between Sporting Gijon & Osasuna, which gave a final return of £62.79 (a profit of £52.79 to my £10 bet).

Tomorrow I’ll explain a simple technique I could have used to increase the returns from my bets.

Home and Away Form

When looking to have a bet on the Full Time Result of a match it can be worthwhile assessing a teams home and away form separately.

If we look at the current Premier League table we see Burnley, Leicester and Middlesbrough all grouped towards the top of the lower half of the table.

premier

However that doesn’t paint a true picture when we’re looking to bet on any of those, as there’s been a stark contrast between their home and away form.

The Sporting Life web site provides an option to view the tables based upon just the home form or just the away form.

If we first look at just the home form, we see a different picture with Burnley 5th in the table, Leicester 7th, while Middlesborough are down in 19th place.

premier-home

Similarly if we view the away form on it’s own, Middlesborough jump up to 9th, while Leicester and Burnley occupy the bottom 2 positions in the table.

premier-away So based upon this evidence both Leicester and Burnley would appear strong candidates for a win when playing at home, but better to oppose when playing away.

If you look at Middlesbrough’s record, you’ll see they’ve drawn 5 times when travelling away, so even though they’re only 15th in the overall table, they’re quite likely to upset a few teams when playing away.

Tomorrow I’ll show you another web site that enables you to break down the home and away form further.

Goals Over/Under

As I mentioned yesterday picking the winner of League Cup games can be especially difficult, as you can’t be sure how seriously the teams are taking the competition.

The good thing with football is you’re not restricted to just betting on the result of the match. Another popular bet type is Goals Over/Under. The good thing about this type of bet is that it doesn’t matter which team wins the match for you to win your bet.

The most popular bets are Over/Under 2.5 and Over/Under 1.5. With the 2.5 market you’re betting whether you think there’ll be 2 or less goals (Under 2.5) or 3 or more goals (Over 2.5). Similarly with the 1.5 market you’re betting whether you think there’ll be 1 goal or less (Under 1.5) or 2 or more goals (Over 1.5).

You can also bet on Over/Under 3.5, 4.5 etc, plus some bookmakers offer Over/Under 0.5. So if you have a strong feeling there will either be very few goals, or plenty of goals, one of those markets may suit you better.

coral-goals-over-under

You can see in the above image (from the Coral web site) how they set the odds for the various different Goals Over/Under markets.

So if you think Arsenal and Southampton will manage to score at least 3 goals between them you’d bet on Over 2.5 Goals at odds of 3/4. If you feel they’ll score 2 or less goals you’d bet on Under 2.5 Goals at 21/20.

What I particularly like about the Goals Over bet is you either win during the game, or at least it keeps you interested throughout the game, as there’s always a chance of some late goals. I’ve had situations where a team has scored in the 95th minute to win my bet.

I like the Over 1.5 Goals, but as you can see from the Coral screenshot above, the odds are always pretty short for this type of bet, 1/4 for the Arsenal match and 1/5 for the Man Utd game. If you don’t feel comfortable backing at such short odds, you can combine matches into an accumulator. For example if you were to bet on there being over 1.5 goals in both of tonight’s matches, combined odds on the double would be 1/2. Still pretty short, but when there’s more matches being played you can combine several matches to increase the odds.

Another way you could bet on Over 1.5 Goals would be to set yourself a profit target. Say to win £50 from a £10 bet. You could then build to this profit over the space of a week. For example starting tonight you could bet £10 on Over 1.5 Goals on the Arsenal v Southampton match @ 1/4. If 2 or more goals are scored your bet would return £12.50. You’d then carry the money over to your next match and bet £12.50.

Personally 1/4 (1.25 decimal) is the minimum odds I like to take on this type of bet. You’d need to have 8 winning matches in a row in order to exceed £50. Ideally you’d be looking for odds of 1.31 or more, which would take your £10 stake to just over £50 with 6 winning bets, reaching your target with 2 less chances for the bet to lose.

Weekends are great for this type of bet. With live football meaning you get games kicking off at lunchtime, mid afternoon and evening you can accumulate your stake throughout the day. The top European leagues often have matches kicking off a different time to those in England, so they can be combined to make your stake grow quicker.

One site I find useful in helping decide if a team is worth backing for Goals Over/Under is statarea.com. If you go to their predictions area you’ll see they produce probability ratings for all matches.

statarea-eflcup

Their predictions for Goals Over/Under (the yellow section) show an 81% probability the Arsenal v Southampton game will see at least 2 goals, which then drops to 55% for at least 3 goals and 32% for at least 4 goals.

Statarea is a good starting point. In future blog posts I’ll be taking a look at other information to help you with this type of bet.

Welcome To Football Index

Today we announce the launch of the Football-Index web site, a sister site to the popular Racing-Index. The main focus of the web site will be to look for football related sites that can help punters make a profit from their Football betting.

The main areas the site will be looking at are:

  • Football Stats sites that provide statistical information, form tables and head to head data
  • Football Betting Systems
  • Football Tipsters
  • Bookmakers providing Football Bet Bonuses, Enhanced Betting Offers and Free Bets

We’ll also be providing links to the official web sites of all the English, Scottish and other major European football teams.

For now, we’ve created the bear bones of the site, but over the coming months will be adding more content as we add site reviews and investigate different ways for you to make money from football betting.

Please let us know, in the comments section below, of any football betting related sites you feel would be a good addition to the listings.