Leeds United Home to Brentford

Current projected total : 83 points

Tomorrow night sees Leeds United play hosts to Brentford in a game that offers the opportunity to gain 2 points on their performance from last season.

Last year the match finished 1-1, with Pontus Jansson scoring an 88th minute goal to cancel out an earlier penalty from Neal Maupay. This season Jansson will be lining up for Brentford, after completing one of the more unexpected moves of the summer, while Maupay has moved to Brighton.

Leeds only manged 1 point from their 2 games against Brentford last season. They’re not a team they’ve fared particularly well against in recent years, but it’s the kind of match they need to be winning, if they want to gain the extra points required to gain automatic promotion.

Having dropped 2 points in their previous home match, against Nottingham Forest, they’ll be looking to get their first home victory of the season.

Odds from bet365 (as at 6:30pm 20th August ) 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk:
Leeds Win:  3/5
Brentford Win: 17/4
Draw: 16/5
Repeat of last season’s 1-1 Draw: 13/2

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Leeds United : Take Us Home Season 2

For the majority of last season, Leeds United looked like ending their 15 year exile from the Premier League. Their recently released 6 part documentary on Amazon Prime, chronicled their first season under Marcelo Bielsa, which ultimately ended up with them missing out on the two automatic promotion places and then losing to Frank Lampard’s Derby County in the play-offs.

With it being the club’s centenary year this season, they’ll be looking to go one better than last year and ensure they secure a top 2 finish and avoid the heartache of the play-offs.

Leeds finished last season with 83 points, 6 points adrift of local rivals Sheffield United, so this season they will need to achieve in the region of 90 points to gain automatic promotion. They dominated possession in the majority of games and at times looked unplayable last year, but despite their dominance they lost too many matches against lower teams, where they should have won.

I don’t know whether Amazon will be showing a second season of Take Us Home, but I thought it would be fun throughout the season to chart Leeds progress, by comparing this season’s results with those of last season, to see if they’re on target to achieve the necessary points required for automatic promotion.

For matches where the opposition weren’t in the Championship last season, I’ll use results from the corresponding promoted/relegated team (e.g. games against Cardiff I’ll use last season’s results against Norwich, Luton I’ll use Rotherham etc).

So far Leeds have played 3 matches this season and the results have exactly matched those from Last year, so their projected points total is currently 83, the same as they finished last season on.

First up was a trip to Bristol City, where they won 1-0 last season and 3-0 this season. Next was the visit of Nottingham forest, where they drew 1-1 both seasons and most recently was the game against Wigan, where they won 2-1 last year and 2-0 this.

Tomorrow night sees Brentford visit Elland Road and I’ll be previewing that match shortly.

Live Match Preview – Newcastle v Liverpool

In the last of the Premier League games, before the International break, Newcastle take on Liverpool at St James’ Park in a game that sees Rafa Benitez face the team he managed to Champions League glory.

Match ups between these two teams have certainly provided some entertainment dating back over 20 years, since Liverpool’s memorable 4-3 win at Anfield. Both teams were going for the title and the game ebbed and flowed until Stan Collymore finally struck the winner for Liverpool in stoppage time. See Martin Tyler remember the classic game here:
http://www.skysports.com/football/news/11096/10223252/liverpool-4-3-newcastle-remembering-the-1996-premier-league-classic

With Newcastle taking a sabbatical into The Championship last year, there was no corresponding fixture, but prior to that they’ve held the upper hand in recent renewals, winning 5, losing 3 and 1 draw. Newcastle won 2-0 the season they got relegated.

Since their return to the Premier League, Newcastle’s home form has been good. They’ve won 2 and lost 1 and sit 5th in the home league table. They lost 2-0 to Spurs on the opening game of the season, but since then have bounced back with home wins over West Ham and Stoke. Last weekends loss to Brighton put an end to a 3 match winning run.

Liverpool’s away form has been mixed, with a win a draw and a loss. They started the season with a 3 all draw at Watford, then got thumped 5-0 at Man City  after the last international break, but won by the odd goal in five in their most recent away match at Leicester.

There’s been plenty of goals in Liverpool’s previous away games, so it’s no surprise bet365 are as short as 4/6 in the Over 2.5 goals market. For my fun bet on the match I’ll combine that with both teams scoring, offered at evens by bet365.

Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS
1/1 – Bet Now!

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Live Match Preview – Everton v Burnley

Everton face Burnley in the early afternoon match on Sky. The two sides have met twice since Burnley got promoted back to the Premier League and both encounters ended in Everton victories, with last year them winning the game 3-1.

Everton have won 11 out of their last 13 Premier League matches, but despite that they lost 3-0 when Spurs visited Goodison Park a few weeks back. That was followed up by a 4-0 defeat at Manchester United, however they bounced back last weekend with a home win against Bournemouth.

Everton sit 7th in the table based on home form, which is the same position Burnley are based on their away form. They started with a win at Chelsea, followed up with draws at Tottenham and Liverpool, so it’s no mean feat to find themselves undefeated after those three encounters.

In all 3 of their away games, both teams have scored and for my fun bet, I’ll look for that stat to continue and will take the 21/20 offered by bet365 for both teams to score.

Both Teams To Score
21/20 – Bet Now!

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Live Match Preview – Arsenal v Brighton

Arsenal take on Premier League newcomers Brighton in the noon kick-off Live on BT Sport on Sunday. There’s no recent head to head form between the two teams, apart from two FA Cup ties in 2013 and 2015, both won 3-2 by Arsenal.

Arsenal have won their last 8 home Premier League games, including all 3  this season. They’ve averaged a 3-1 score line over their 3 home games this season and are ranked 2nd in the home form table.

Brighton are yet to win away from home since gaining promotion to the Premier League, having lost twice and drawn once, scoring just the 1 goal.

Everything points to this being a routine home win for Arsenal and I really can’t see Brighton causing an upset. For my fun bet I’ll go for an Arsenal win and Over 2.5 goals at 8/11 with BetVictor.

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Live Match Preview – Chelsea v Manchester City

Saturday’s tea time kick off is a heavyweight clash between Chelsea and Man City live on BT Sport. Over the last 10 years Chelsea have had the upper hand in the fixture, winning 6, with 2 draws and 2 defeats. They won the corresponding fixture 2-1 last year.

Manchester City have got the season off to a flyer, winning 5 of their 6 Premier League games. They’ve scored 16 goals without conceding in their last 3 games. Meanwhile Chelsea have bounced back well from their opening day defeat at home to Burnley, winning 4 of their 5 League matches since that defeat.

Chelsea currently sit 10th in the league, based upon home form, having won 1 drawn 1 and lost 1, while Man City are top of the table based upon away form, having won all 3 of their games

Chelsea will be desperate to win this one and close the gap on their title rivals. This time last year they sat 8 points a drift of City, before going on a 13 win run and eventually finishing 15 points above them, they’ve got momentum on their side at the moment, so they won’t want to drop 6 points behind them after this match.

For my fun bet I’ll take the evens offered by bet365 for both teams to score and there be over 2.5 goals.

Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS
1/1 – Bet Now!

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Live Match Preview – Huddersfield v Tottenham

Saturday’s live lunch time kick off sees Huddersfield take on Tottenham. With this being Huddersfield’s first season in the Premier League, there’s no past head to head information to go on.

Huddersfield are undefeated in their previous 3 home games this season, with 1 win and 2 draws to their name. They have scored only 2 goals in the 3 games and conceded just the 1.

Spurs meanwhile have won all 3 of their previous away games and seem to be enjoying playing their games away from the home of English football. They’ve scored 8 goals in the 3 games and have conceded just 2.

My gut feeling is Huddersfield will be hard pressed to get anything from this match, Harry Kane was on fire in their mid-week Champions League win against APOEL. For my fun bet on Spurs v Swansea a couple of weeks ago I went for there being 2 or 3 goals in the match. On that occasion, it ended as a 0-0 draw, but I’ll stick with the bet again and take the evens offered by bet365.

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Live Match Preview – Cardiff v Leeds

For tonight’s live match preview we drop down to The Championship for Leeds visit to Cardiff, which is live on Sky Sports.

There’s no love lost between the two teams, which dates back to 2002 when Cardiff dumped a high flying Leeds out of the FA Cup in the 3rd round. See highlights of that match. It was an ill tempered match that saw Alan Smith get sent off for Leeds and it very much set the tone for future encounters.

Stemming from the cup win Cardiff went 15 matches without defeat against Leeds and were very much a bogey side for them. However there’s been a bit of a roll reversal in the past couple of seasons, with Leeds winning 3 of the last 4 encounters, including the last 2 fixtures at the Cardiff City Stadium, both by a 2-0 scoreline.

Ex-Leeds manager, Neil Warnock, is now in charge at Cardiff and Leeds ex-captain Sol Bamba now plys his trade there at centre back, although it remains to be seen if he’ll be playing.

Both teams have started the season better than expected, with Leeds currently on top and Cardiff in 3rd on the same number of points. Cardiff have won 3 and drawn 1 of their home games, while Leeds have won 3 and lost 1 of their away matches. Leeds did come unstuck in their last Championship away game, at Millwall, but they bounced back to knock Premier League Burnley out of the League Cup.

For Leeds a lot will depend on whether Pontus Jansson is back fit. They’ve only conceded 1 goal this season, while he’s been playing, but he’s missed the last 2 games through injury.

With both teams playing so well, it’s a difficult one to call result wise, so instead, given the feisty nature of the fixture over the years, I’ve been looking at the bookings market with bet365. They’re offering 11/10 on their being over 4.5 cards in the match.

With yellow cards counting 1 point and reds counting 2 points that’ll be my fun bet for the game.

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Live Match Preview – Arsenal v WBA

Monday night football sees Arsenal take on West Brom at the Emirates, in an early season mid-table clash. Arsenal currently sit 12th in the league, with WBA 2 places above them. Arsenal are currently 9 points behind the two Manchester clubs, but a win tonight will see them leap up to 7th in the table.

Arsenal have pretty much dominated this fixture, since West Brom got back into the Premier League in 2010. WBA won the game in their first year back in the top flight, but since then it’s been 6 wins to Arsenal, with them winning the game 1-0 last year.

Arsenal have won their two previous home games this season, making it 7 home league wins in a row, when including the back end of last season.

WBA won at Burnley in their first away game of the season, but then lost at Bighton on their most recent away day.

Arsenal are 1/3 with bet365 to win the game and although that’s the result I expect to see, it’s not a price I like to play at.  For my fun bet I’ll go for the more risky bet of Arsenal to win and West Brom not to score at 21/20 with bet365.

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Live Match Preview – Brighton v Newcastle

Brighton take on Newcastle at 4:00pm on Sky in a game that last year was played in The Championship. Both teams did well to win automatic promotion, with Newcastle just pipping Brighton to the title in the last game of the season.

Newcastle have started life in the Premier League the better of the two and currently sit a lofty 4th in the table. They didn’t get off to the best of starts, with back to back defeats to first Tottenham and then other new club Huddersfield, but 3 wins on the bounce have seen them rise up the table and they are the form team going into this match. Last season they also lost their opening 2 games and that didn’t stop them going on to achieve great things.

Brighton also lost their first two matches of the season, but haven’t managed to match Newcastle’s results since then; picking up 4 points from their last 3 matches. They are yet to win at home this season and may find things difficult against a Newcastle team that are flying at the moment.

Last season, in the Championship, Newcastle did the double over their promotion rivals, which was their only league meeting in recent years. In the home match Brighton lost 2-1, thanks to 2 late Newcastle goals.

I feel it’ll be a tight game and for my fun bet I’ll go for there being less than 2.5 goals scored at 4/7 with bet365

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