Free Tips WhoScored

A couple of weeks ago I looked at the WhoScored web site and in particular their match previews. They include match information, probable lineups, missing players, team news, match facts, predictions and user predictions.

For anyone wanting to have a bet of the football, but not got the time to study the form of the 2 teams, their match predictions maybe of particular interest.

They cover all the major European leagues, including the English Premier League and The Championship, Spanish La Liga, Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga, French Ligue 1,  Dutch Eredivisie and Portuguese Liga NOS. They also include matches from Russia, Norway, Sweeden, Turkey, USA MLS, Brazil, Argentina and the Chinese Super League.

It’s great that they cover so many leagues, but the big question is, can you make a profit following their predictions?

The WhoScored site has a lot of footballing stats, but I couldn’t see anywhere where they show how well or badly their predictions perform. I’ll therefore monitor their selections to see how they get on.

Unfortunately the only way I can see to get their predictions is to click on the match preview for each individual match. It’s therefore fairly time consuming to retrieve all of their predictions, so for now I’ll just monitor their selections for the English Premier League, The Championship and Champions League matches.

As they give a score predictions for each of the matches, I’ll monitor profit/loss for the results and correct score markets.

Matches Played Weekend 9th/10th September

Not the best start for their Premier League predictions, with only 3 correct results from the 9 matches played so far giving a loss of 1.34 points. None of their score predictions were correct, so a 9 point loss on the correct score bets, giving an overall loss of 10.34 points on the weekend.

A much better performance from The Championship matches, with 6 correct results from the 12 matches played, giving a profit of 4.55 points. They predicted the correct score in 2 of the matches, which gave a profit of 6.5 points and a combined profit of 11.05 points.

With tonight’s match between West Ham and Huddersfield still to go they’re showing a slight overall profit of 0.71 points across the 2 leagues.

10 Championship matches to be played this week and the Start of the Champions League group games, so I’ll report back on those predictions later in the week. If you want to see their predictions visit https://www.whoscored.com/Previews and click on the individual matches to see their predictions.

* Teams are highlighted in green where the match result prediction is correct and the score is highlighted where the score prediction is correct.

Introduction to Asian Handicap Betting

If you’ve not heard of Asian Handicap betting before, it’s nothing to do with betting on football matches in Asian countries. It gets it’s name due to the fact it originated in Indonesia and was given the term Asian Handicap by a journalist called Joe Saumarez, when he was asked by an Indonesian bookmaker to provide a translation of the betting method.

Essentially it’s a form of betting where the considered weaker team is given an initial advantage, so that the stronger team must score more goals in order for someone betting on them to win. The main benefit it provides over regular betting is it takes the draw out of the equation.

As an example let’s take a look at today’s only English League match, between Millwall and Charlton.

Millwall are the home team and are considered favourites for the match, you’ll see the match priced giving Charlton a half goal head start.

By giving Charlton the half goal lead there’s now only 2 outcomes to the game, as if the match ends in an actual draw, it would be an Asian Handicap victory for Charlton. It also enables the bookmaker to offer the same odds for either team.

  • If Charlton win the game by 1 or more goals – Charlton win
  • If the game ends a draw – Charlton win due to the half goal head start
  • If Millwall win by 1 or more goals – Result Millwall win

Ok that’s a pretty simple example, it gets slightly more complicated when you introduce quarter goals.

In addition to the 0.5 handicap, bookmakers also offer a range of alternative handicaps. This enables you to increase your odds depending upon the margin of victory you think there’ll be for either team.

So if you felt Millwall would win the match by 2 or more goals, you could back them with a -1.5 goal start, at odds of 3.35. This would give you better returns if they were to win by 2 or more, but your bet would be lost if they were to win, but only by 1 goal.

They also have -1 goal priced up. In this situation if Millwall were to win by 1 goal, it would cancel out the 1 goal head start given to Charlton, but rather than be classed as a losing bet, under Asian Handicap rules the stake would be refunded. This is referred to as a push bet.

You’ll also notice some odds quoted where two handicaps are shown. These are also often referred to as quarter-goal handicaps. So -0.75 would be the same as saying -0.5,-1.0.

In this situation you’re effectively placing 2 bets, 1 with a handicap of -0.5 and the other of -1.0.

If Millwall were to win by 1 goal, the -0.5 part of the bet would be a winner and the stake would be returned on the -1.0 part of the bet. If Millwall were to win by 2 or more goals, both parts of the bet would win.

Bookmakers also offer a number of other Asian lines, including Goal Line, 1st half handicaps and corners. I’ll take a look at those in a future blog post.