4 Home Acca – 17/11/18

Last weekend the 2 FA Cup matches came up trumps and Norwich prevailed in a roller coaster match at Carrow Road, thanks to 2 injury time goals. However the damage was done in 11 second half minutes at Derby, where Aston Villa ran in 3 goals to upset the acca.

Betting bank now -£90.00

Selections for 17th November 2018

English League One – Luton to beat Plymouth
English League One – Sunderland to beat Wycombe
English League Two – Newport to beat Colchester
English League Two – Exeter to beat Northampton

£10 bet returns £189.10 with bet365. 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk

Open Account Offer
Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5 and 1x settled bet requirement to release Bet Credits. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Week 12 – Backing Josh Wright’s Premier League Predictions

Has we head into another International break, it was a vastly improved performance, this weekend, for Josh Wright’s Premier League predictions at WhoScored.

He predicted 5 of the 10 matches this week and of those he was correct with the result in 3 of the games and spot on with the scores in 2.

He correctly predicted Liverpool would beat Fulham 2-0 and that Man City would beat Man Utd 3-1. Those results helped him to a profit on the week of +£92.17 to £5 stakes and reduced his overall loss for the season to -£51.10.

Gamble Responsibly. 18+ BeGambleAware.org

4 Homes Acca – 10/11/18

No joy with last weekend’s acca. Just 1 winner from the 4 home selections. Brentford beat Millwall, but Port Vale could only manage a draw and their were defeats for Blackpool and Stenhousemuir.

Betting bank now -£80.00

Selections for 10th November 2018

English Championship – Derby to beat Aston Villa
English Championship – Norwich to beat Millwall
FA Cup – Luton to beat Wycombe
FA Cup – Lincoln to beat Northampton

£10 bet returns £119.30 with bet365. 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk

Open Account Offer
Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5 and 1x settled bet requirement to release Bet Credits. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

Week 11 – Backing Josh Wright’s Premier League Predictions

Josh Wright provided the WhoScored predictions for just 4 of the matches this weekend and was only correct with the result in 1 of the games, with no correct scores. A combined loss of -£34.45 to £5 stakes on each of the results, plus correct scores, based upon bet365 odds.

His overall loss for the season now stands at -£142.35.

Ben McAleer predicted 4 of the remaining games and he’s currently showing an overall loss of -£72.00, while Martin Laurence previewed the other 2 games. He was spot on with his prediction that Chelsea would beat Crystal Palace 3-1 and his running total for the season now stands at +£91.55 to £5 stakes.

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4 Homes Acca – 3/11/18

For a long time it looked like we’d land the acca bet last weekend. Newport took the lead in the 1st minute, Watford in the 10th, Barnsley in the 11th and Sheff Utd completed the full house in the 23rd.

Watford went on to win 3-0, Sheff Utd won 4-2 and Barnsley won 1-0, but unfortunately Newport were unable to hold on to their lead and drew 1-1.

Betting bank now -£70.00

Selections for 3rd November 2018

Not enough qualifying bets in the English leagues this weekend, so I’ve dipped my toe into Scotland for the 4th selection.

English Championship – Brentford to beat Millwall
English League One – Blackpool to beat Bristol Rovers
English League Two – Port Vale to beat Notts Co
Scottish League One – Stenhousemuir to beat Stranraer

£10 bet returns £213.20 with bet365. 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk

Open Account Offer
Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5 and 1x settled bet requirement to release Bet Credits. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

 

Football Advisor Bank Builder – Update 9

The weekend didn’t start well for the Bank Builder and after Saturday’s selections my betting bank for cycle 2 was down -81.9% of initial stake + wild card. Sunday and Monday saw it recover some of the losses, but my betting bank is still down -77.7%.

The strike rate for this cycle is currently 75%, so still well below their expected 85-95% range.

I’ve decided to go a bit off piste backing these selections and have setup a 2nd betting bank that I’d held in reserve and have started a 3rd cycle backing the bank builder selections.

This is similar to what they did last year when their cycle 1 selections had lost a big portion of the betting bank, but I must stress this is a decision I’ve taken, rather than being their advice. My new cycle 3 betting bank is currently showing a +23.1 % profit. Whether it proves a good or bad decision remains to be seen.

Double Chance

Things are looking a bit more rosy for the Bank Builder Double Chance selections. Had Sunday’s results all gone the right way, my betting bank would have been back in profit by now. However as it stands it’s still down -29.2%, but at least heading in the right direction. The overall strike rate has improved to 83%.

When the betting bank gets back to break even, I intend to withdraw the wild card funds. That way the wild card can be used again, if things take a turn for the worse. This is different from what Football Advisor advise, but to me makes sense.

Over Under

Not that many selections for this betting model, over the past week, but those that they did give out were all successful and the bank growth is now up +32.9%

Future Updates

In future I’ll just be reporting on the Bank Builder selections at the end of each month, unless any of the cycles double their respective betting bank, in which case I’ll  write an additional post.

Week 10 – Backing Josh Wright’s Premier League Predictions

Josh Wright continues to just about break even with his Premier League result predictions for WhoScored, but is still struggling to get any of the scores correct.

Josh predicted 5 of the 10 matches this week and was correct with the result in 3 of the games, but no correct scores mean a combined loss of -£25.85 to £5 stakes. His overall loss for the season now stands at -£107.90.

Gamble Responsibly. 18+ BeGambleAware.org

4 Homes Acca – 27/10/18

MK Dons took advantage of Notts Co going down to 10 men and came back from a goal down to win 2-1. However that was as good as it got for the acca on Tuesday night. The other 3 matches ended in draws, so I continue to look for the first winning acca of the season

Betting bank now -£60.00

For this Saturday’s acca there’s 1 selection from each of the 4 divisions.

Selections for 27th October 2018

English Premier League – Watford to beat Huddersfield
English Championship – Sheffield Utd to beat Wigan
English League One – Barnsley to beat Bristol Rovers
English League Two – Newport to beat Morecambe

£10 bet returns £91.57 with Betvictor.

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Football Advisor Bank Builder – Update 8

The International break did little to revive the fortunes of the Bank Builder Selections. The betting bank continued it’s downward spiral and currently stands at -74% of the initial bank + wild card. The strike rate for this cycle now stands at 74.4%, which is well below their expected range of 85-95%.

The bank is now going to need to be doubled through twice, to get back to where it started and a third time to meet the cycle objective.

In addressing the situation, they had this message for members

If you are considering stopping following the selections then I’d counter with this. We’re in a position now, what poker players would call ‘pot committed’. There is little upside to withdrawing what we have remaining compared to what has been invested to date and I would suggest that it is better to hold your nerve and continue on rather than compound any losses by stopping now.

It was always going to be a high risk high reward strategy and emphasizes the reason why you should only gamble with money you can afford to lose. I’m All In and hopefully there’ll be a pot worth winning by the end of the season.

Double Chance

Not much better news to report for the Bank Builder Double Chance. As I expected they invoked the wild card, but the strike rate hasn’t improved and is currently at 80.6% for the cycle. Overall my betting bank is down 45% on the initial bank + wild card.

Over Under

They’ve analysed a new potentially profitable area for their Bank Builder model, using the goals over / under markets and will be giving these selections away free to members of their original Bank Builder and Double Chance services, until such times that those services meet their objective of doubling the bank.

They advise these selections can also be backed as singles, doubles, trebles and accas, but I’ll be reporting on them just using the Bank Builder staking method.

The first weekend saw the selections survive a couple of squeaky bum moments and my bank growth for these is currently up +20.3%.

With a bit of luck the bank growth from these bets can make up for the loses on the original bank builder bet.

Week 9 – Backing Josh Wright’s Premier League Predictions

It was not a good week for Josh Wright’s Premier League predictions for WhoScored.

Josh predicted 9 of the 10 matches with Ben McAleer doing his usual prediction of the Tottenham match. Of the 9 games Josh was right with just 4 and didn’t manage to get the correct score in any of the games.

A loss of -£17.05 to £5 stakes, mean he’s now only just breaking even for the correct results, but it’s the correct scores that are hurting him most, with just 3 correct from 46 predictions this season, he’s now showing a loss of £82.50.

The correct scores was a big plus for him last season, so hopefully he’ll land a big score soon to turn that side of things around.

Gamble Responsibly. 18+ BeGambleAware.org