Leeds United Away to Barnsley

Swansea Result

Prior to the international break Leeds lost 1-0 at home to Swansea, thanks to a 90th minute goal. It was a match they’d won last season, so 3 points lost from last year decreases their projected total back down to 85 points.

Next Up Barnsley

Leeds are next in action in a lunch time kick-off at Barnsley. This is the first game of the season where they come up against a team that wasn’t in the division last year. Therefore I’ll use the result against Bolton for the comparison. Leeds won that match last season, so only a win at Barnsley will do if they want to prevent the projected total slipping back any further.

Barnsley started the season well with a 1-0 win over Fulham, but have failed to win since the opening day. Leeds will want to get their promotion push back on track, after suffering their first league defeat of the season, in the match against Swansea.

The last time Barnsley were in the Championship (2017/18 season) Leeds were comfortable 2-0 winners, but their local rivals have not always proved an easy hunting ground in recent times, with Barnsley winning 4 of the last 6 encounters on their home turf. Although Leeds 2 wins have both come in the last 3 encounters.

This season a little more spice is added to the fixture, due to a number of Leeds ex-academy players, being snapped up by their Yorkshire rivals during the summer transfer window. Most notable was the transfer of Mallik Wilks, who was in fine form last season, on loan at Doncaster, helping them to the playoffs and looked to have earned himself a shot at the Leeds first team.

Odds from bet365 (as at 2:30 pm 13th September – subject to change) 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk:
Leeds Win:  1/2
Barnsley Win: 11/2
Draw: 10/3

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Leeds United Home to Swansea

Stoke Result

Leeds were in great form at Stoke, on Saturday, in a match they’d lost 2-1 last season. They didn’t score until the 42nd minute, but their 2nd half showing, was up there with their best performances from last year and the final score of 3-0 could easily have been much greater.

So 3 points gained from a fixture they took nothing from last year, increases their projected total to 88 points.

Next Up Swansea

The final match, before the international break. Sees Leeds take on Swansea at Elland Road, in what’s turned out to be a top of the table clash. It’s a match Leeds won 2-1 last year, so no opportunity for them to increase the projected total, but they’ll need to win in order to preserve the points they’ve gained over the last 2 games.

Swansea helped contribute to Leeds failure to get promoted last season.  With the transfer of Dan James all set to go through on the final day of the January transfer window, Swansea pulled the plug on the deal at the 11th hour. We’ll never know if James would have made the difference in the race to a top 2 finish, but it could have been the small difference that got them over the line.

Swansea arrive at Elland Road in good form. The end of last season saw them suffer just 1 defeat in their final 9 matches (albeit a 4-0 loss to QPR). They won all their pre-season friendlies and like Leeds, have won 5 out of 6 league and cup games so far this season.

With the 2 teams currently sitting joint top of the Championship, Leeds will need to be in top form, to repeat last year’s win over a Strong Swansea team. In the run in, last season, Leeds lost home matches to both their promotion rivals, which ultimately cost them a place in the Premier League. If they want to see a different outcome this season, it’s a game they can’t afford to slip up in.

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Leeds United Away to Stoke

A late winner from Arsenal on loan striker Eddie Nketiah, against Brentford, was enough to give Leeds the 3 points. It was a game they only managed to draw last season, so a gain of 2 points.

Current projected total : 85 points

Saturday sees them with an opportunity to gain an additional 3 points, from their visit to the bet365 Stadium, in a match they lost 2-1 last season.

Much was expected of Stoke this year, but they’ve made a poor start to the season, currently sitting bottom of the division, with just 1 point from their opening 4 games. Leeds on the other hand have shaken off the disappointment from the end of last season and a riding high at the top of the table with 10 points.

It’s a game that if they want to get a top 2 finish, they need to be walking away with all 3 points, but it’s also the sort of match, against teams in poor form, where they slipped up last year. Most memorable being QPR had gone 7 league defeats in a row, when Leeds lost there 1-0 and Stoke had only taken 1 point from their previous 4 league games, prior to their 2-1 victory.

Marcelo Bielsa says he has learnt lessons from last year. Leeds have already laid to rest the ghosts of last Easter, with wins over Wigan and Brentford, two defeats that killed off any hopes of automatic promotion last season.  Can they take another step to prove that this season they’ve finally got what it takes to secure automatic promotion?

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Leeds United Home to Brentford

Current projected total : 83 points

Tomorrow night sees Leeds United play hosts to Brentford in a game that offers the opportunity to gain 2 points on their performance from last season.

Last year the match finished 1-1, with Pontus Jansson scoring an 88th minute goal to cancel out an earlier penalty from Neal Maupay. This season Jansson will be lining up for Brentford, after completing one of the more unexpected moves of the summer, while Maupay has moved to Brighton.

Leeds only manged 1 point from their 2 games against Brentford last season. They’re not a team they’ve fared particularly well against in recent years, but it’s the kind of match they need to be winning, if they want to gain the extra points required to gain automatic promotion.

Having dropped 2 points in their previous home match, against Nottingham Forest, they’ll be looking to get their first home victory of the season.

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Leeds United : Take Us Home Season 2

For the majority of last season, Leeds United looked like ending their 15 year exile from the Premier League. Their recently released 6 part documentary on Amazon Prime, chronicled their first season under Marcelo Bielsa, which ultimately ended up with them missing out on the two automatic promotion places and then losing to Frank Lampard’s Derby County in the play-offs.

With it being the club’s centenary year this season, they’ll be looking to go one better than last year and ensure they secure a top 2 finish and avoid the heartache of the play-offs.

Leeds finished last season with 83 points, 6 points adrift of local rivals Sheffield United, so this season they will need to achieve in the region of 90 points to gain automatic promotion. They dominated possession in the majority of games and at times looked unplayable last year, but despite their dominance they lost too many matches against lower teams, where they should have won.

I don’t know whether Amazon will be showing a second season of Take Us Home, but I thought it would be fun throughout the season to chart Leeds progress, by comparing this season’s results with those of last season, to see if they’re on target to achieve the necessary points required for automatic promotion.

For matches where the opposition weren’t in the Championship last season, I’ll use results from the corresponding promoted/relegated team (e.g. games against Cardiff I’ll use last season’s results against Norwich, Luton I’ll use Rotherham etc).

So far Leeds have played 3 matches this season and the results have exactly matched those from Last year, so their projected points total is currently 83, the same as they finished last season on.

First up was a trip to Bristol City, where they won 1-0 last season and 3-0 this season. Next was the visit of Nottingham forest, where they drew 1-1 both seasons and most recently was the game against Wigan, where they won 2-1 last year and 2-0 this.

Tomorrow night sees Brentford visit Elland Road and I’ll be previewing that match shortly.

4 Homes Acca – 04/05/19

Came close to landing the Acca bet last weekend. The 2 Scottish matches obliged, with Forfar beating Montrose 1-0 and Raith winning by the odd goal in five against Brechin.

WBA came back from 1-0 down to take the lead against Rotherham and with Swansea having been 2-0 up, it looked like the win could be on. But alas Swansea threw away their lead and ended up drawing 2-2, so WBA’s come back was all in vain.

The betting bank now stands at -£59.30

With it being the last acca bet of the season, the bet needs to be landed, in order to return a profit for the season. May the forth be with the selections.

Selections for 4th May 2019

English Premier League – Wolves to beat Fulham
English League 1- Charlton to beat Rochdale
English League 1 – Plymouth to beat Scunthorpe
English League 2 – Bury to beat Port Vale

£10 bet returns £90.90  with bet365. 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk

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4 Homes Acca – 27/04/19

There was no repeat of the Friday’s winning acca bet on Easter Monday. 2 injury time goals for Derby (94th and 101st minute) gave them victory over QPR and Charlton made light work of victory, with a 4-0 win over Scunthorpe. However Lincoln again let the bet down with a goalless draw with Tranmere and MK Dons could also only manage a draw against Port Vale.

The betting bank now stands at -£49.30

Just 2 weeks of the regular season left to turn the betting bank into a profit. Very low odds for a lot of the EFL qualifying matches, so this week I’ve dipped my toe back into the Scottish league matches.

Selections for 27th April 2019

English Championship – Swansea to beat Hull
English Championship – WBA to beat Rotherham
Scottish Championship – Dundee Utd to beat Falkirk
Scottish League 1 – Forfar to beat Montrose

£10 bet returns £130.00  with Betfred. 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk

4 Homes Acca – 22/04/19

It was a Good Friday for the acca bet, with all 4 home teams coming up trumps. Swansea had to twice come from a goal behind to eventually see off Rotherham 4-3. Barnsley beat Shrewsbury 2-1, Mansfield put 4 past Morecambe and Crewe beat Yeovil 2-0.

The winning bet returned £80.20 with bet365.

The betting bank now stands at -£39.30

Hopefully we can make it a double Easter celebration.

Selections for 22nd April 2019

English Championship – Derby to beat QPR
English League 1- Charlton to beat Scunthorpe
English League 2 – MK Dons to beat Port Vale
English League 2 – Lincoln to beat Tranmere

£10 bet returns £93.50  with bet365. 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk

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4 Homes Acca – 19/04/19

In last weekend’s acca Doncaster beat Plymouth 2-0 and Portsmouth ran out 4-1 winners against Rochdale, but a 95th minute goal for Millwall earned them a draw against Premier League chasing Sheffield United.

The bet was already doomed to failure at that point, as despite clinching promotion, Lincoln could only manage to share the spoils with Cheltenham.

The betting bank now stands at -£109.50

With just a few weeks until the end of the season, running out of chances to turn things into a profit. With a full program of EFL games on Monday, I’ll be looking for another acca bet for the bank holiday.

Selections for 19th April 2019

English Championship – Swansea to beat Rotherham
English League 1- Barnsley  to beat Shrewsbury
English League 2 – Crewe to beat Yeovil
English League 2 – Mansfield to beat Morecambe

£10 bet returns £80.20  with bet365. 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk

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4 Homes Acca – 13/04/19

In last weekend’s acca there were wins for Hull, who beat Reading 3-1  and Mansfield, 1-0 winners over Cambridge, but the other 2 matches finished all square.

Brentford came back from a goal down three times, but never managed to get their noses in front against Derby. While Bristol City were pegged back in the 93rd minute by a Wigan team fighting hard to maintain their Championship status.

The betting bank now stands at -£99.50

Selections for 13th April 2019

English Championship – Sheffield United to beat Millwall
English League 1- Doncaster to beat Plymouth
English League 1- Portsmouth to beat Rochdale
English League 2 – Lincoln to beat Cheltenham

£10 bet returns £76.70  with Betfred. 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk