Leeds United Home to Brentford

Current projected total : 83 points

Tomorrow night sees Leeds United play hosts to Brentford in a game that offers the opportunity to gain 2 points on their performance from last season.

Last year the match finished 1-1, with Pontus Jansson scoring an 88th minute goal to cancel out an earlier penalty from Neal Maupay. This season Jansson will be lining up for Brentford, after completing one of the more unexpected moves of the summer, while Maupay has moved to Brighton.

Leeds only manged 1 point from their 2 games against Brentford last season. They’re not a team they’ve fared particularly well against in recent years, but it’s the kind of match they need to be winning, if they want to gain the extra points required to gain automatic promotion.

Having dropped 2 points in their previous home match, against Nottingham Forest, they’ll be looking to get their first home victory of the season.

Odds from bet365 (as at 6:30pm 20th August ) 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk:
Leeds Win:  3/5
Brentford Win: 17/4
Draw: 16/5
Repeat of last season’s 1-1 Draw: 13/2

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Leeds United : Take Us Home Season 2

For the majority of last season, Leeds United looked like ending their 15 year exile from the Premier League. Their recently released 6 part documentary on Amazon Prime, chronicled their first season under Marcelo Bielsa, which ultimately ended up with them missing out on the two automatic promotion places and then losing to Frank Lampard’s Derby County in the play-offs.

With it being the club’s centenary year this season, they’ll be looking to go one better than last year and ensure they secure a top 2 finish and avoid the heartache of the play-offs.

Leeds finished last season with 83 points, 6 points adrift of local rivals Sheffield United, so this season they will need to achieve in the region of 90 points to gain automatic promotion. They dominated possession in the majority of games and at times looked unplayable last year, but despite their dominance they lost too many matches against lower teams, where they should have won.

I don’t know whether Amazon will be showing a second season of Take Us Home, but I thought it would be fun throughout the season to chart Leeds progress, by comparing this season’s results with those of last season, to see if they’re on target to achieve the necessary points required for automatic promotion.

For matches where the opposition weren’t in the Championship last season, I’ll use results from the corresponding promoted/relegated team (e.g. games against Cardiff I’ll use last season’s results against Norwich, Luton I’ll use Rotherham etc).

So far Leeds have played 3 matches this season and the results have exactly matched those from Last year, so their projected points total is currently 83, the same as they finished last season on.

First up was a trip to Bristol City, where they won 1-0 last season and 3-0 this season. Next was the visit of Nottingham forest, where they drew 1-1 both seasons and most recently was the game against Wigan, where they won 2-1 last year and 2-0 this.

Tomorrow night sees Brentford visit Elland Road and I’ll be previewing that match shortly.

4 Homes Acca – 04/05/19

Came close to landing the Acca bet last weekend. The 2 Scottish matches obliged, with Forfar beating Montrose 1-0 and Raith winning by the odd goal in five against Brechin.

WBA came back from 1-0 down to take the lead against Rotherham and with Swansea having been 2-0 up, it looked like the win could be on. But alas Swansea threw away their lead and ended up drawing 2-2, so WBA’s come back was all in vain.

The betting bank now stands at -£59.30

With it being the last acca bet of the season, the bet needs to be landed, in order to return a profit for the season. May the forth be with the selections.

Selections for 4th May 2019

English Premier League – Wolves to beat Fulham
English League 1- Charlton to beat Rochdale
English League 1 – Plymouth to beat Scunthorpe
English League 2 – Bury to beat Port Vale

£10 bet returns £90.90  with bet365. 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk

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4 Homes Acca – 27/04/19

There was no repeat of the Friday’s winning acca bet on Easter Monday. 2 injury time goals for Derby (94th and 101st minute) gave them victory over QPR and Charlton made light work of victory, with a 4-0 win over Scunthorpe. However Lincoln again let the bet down with a goalless draw with Tranmere and MK Dons could also only manage a draw against Port Vale.

The betting bank now stands at -£49.30

Just 2 weeks of the regular season left to turn the betting bank into a profit. Very low odds for a lot of the EFL qualifying matches, so this week I’ve dipped my toe back into the Scottish league matches.

Selections for 27th April 2019

English Championship – Swansea to beat Hull
English Championship – WBA to beat Rotherham
Scottish Championship – Dundee Utd to beat Falkirk
Scottish League 1 – Forfar to beat Montrose

£10 bet returns £130.00  with Betfred. 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk

4 Homes Acca – 22/04/19

It was a Good Friday for the acca bet, with all 4 home teams coming up trumps. Swansea had to twice come from a goal behind to eventually see off Rotherham 4-3. Barnsley beat Shrewsbury 2-1, Mansfield put 4 past Morecambe and Crewe beat Yeovil 2-0.

The winning bet returned £80.20 with bet365.

The betting bank now stands at -£39.30

Hopefully we can make it a double Easter celebration.

Selections for 22nd April 2019

English Championship – Derby to beat QPR
English League 1- Charlton to beat Scunthorpe
English League 2 – MK Dons to beat Port Vale
English League 2 – Lincoln to beat Tranmere

£10 bet returns £93.50  with bet365. 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk

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4 Homes Acca – 19/04/19

In last weekend’s acca Doncaster beat Plymouth 2-0 and Portsmouth ran out 4-1 winners against Rochdale, but a 95th minute goal for Millwall earned them a draw against Premier League chasing Sheffield United.

The bet was already doomed to failure at that point, as despite clinching promotion, Lincoln could only manage to share the spoils with Cheltenham.

The betting bank now stands at -£109.50

With just a few weeks until the end of the season, running out of chances to turn things into a profit. With a full program of EFL games on Monday, I’ll be looking for another acca bet for the bank holiday.

Selections for 19th April 2019

English Championship – Swansea to beat Rotherham
English League 1- Barnsley  to beat Shrewsbury
English League 2 – Crewe to beat Yeovil
English League 2 – Mansfield to beat Morecambe

£10 bet returns £80.20  with bet365. 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk

Open Account Offer
Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5 and 1x settled bet requirement to release Bet Credits. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.

4 Homes Acca – 13/04/19

In last weekend’s acca there were wins for Hull, who beat Reading 3-1  and Mansfield, 1-0 winners over Cambridge, but the other 2 matches finished all square.

Brentford came back from a goal down three times, but never managed to get their noses in front against Derby. While Bristol City were pegged back in the 93rd minute by a Wigan team fighting hard to maintain their Championship status.

The betting bank now stands at -£99.50

Selections for 13th April 2019

English Championship – Sheffield United to beat Millwall
English League 1- Doncaster to beat Plymouth
English League 1- Portsmouth to beat Rochdale
English League 2 – Lincoln to beat Cheltenham

£10 bet returns £76.70  with Betfred. 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk

4 Homes Acca – 6/4/19

Neither of the acca bets got landed last week. Bet 1 saw Derby put 6 past Rotherham, plus wins for Charlton and Doncaster, but the shortest odds bet of the lot, saw runaway league 2 leaders Lincoln, held by bottom placed team Macclesfield (it’s a funny old game).

Bet 2 saw Nottm Forest beat Swansea and Oxford come from behind to beat Wycombe, but Crewe and Stevenage conceded 3 goals apiece, so the bet never looked like being landed.

The betting bank now stands at -£89.50

Back to just the 1 bet this week.

Selections for 6th April 2019

English Championship – Hull to beat Reading
English Championship – Brentford to beat Derby
English Championship – Bristol City to beat Wigan
English League 2 – Mansfield to beat Cambridge

£10 bet returns £149.39  with Betfred. 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk

4 Homes Acca x2 – 30/03/19

No acca last weekend, due to the International break and the fact I was away snowboarding. The previous weeks acca came close to being landed with 3 of the 4 matches going to the home side, but despite coming back from a goal down, the MK Dons were unable to find a winner against Stevenage. The match between Bury and Cambridge was postponed.

The betting bank now stands at -£69.50

There’s a plethora of qualifying matches for this Saturday, so I’m putting up 2 acca bets. I’ve split the matches by odds, so there’s a short priced and a bigger priced bet.

Selections for 30th March 2019

Bet 1
English Championship – Derby to beat Rotherham
English League 1 – Charlton to beat Bradford
English League 1 – Doncaster to beat Walsall
English League 2 – Lincoln to beat Macclesfield

£10 bet returns £74.30  with bet365. 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk

Bet 2
English Championship – Nottm Forest to beat Swansea
English League 1 – Oxford to beat Wycombe
English League 2 – Crewe to beat Cheltenham
English League 2 – Stevenage to beat Notts Co

£10 bet returns £221.80  with bet365. 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk

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5 Homes Acca – 16/03/19

Just the one match letting the acca down again in mid-week. Sheff Utd, Charlton and Tranmere all won their respective matches, but Carlisle went down 3-1 to Notts County to spoil the bet:-(

The betting bank now stands at -£59.50

Low odds for the qualifying matches again this weekend, so I’ve left it at 5 selections.

Selections for 16th March 2019

English League 1 – Portsmouth to beat Scunthorpe
English League 1 – Sunderland to beat Walsall
English League 2 – Bury to beat Cambridge
English League 2 – Crewe to beat Crawley
English League 2 – MK Dons to beat Stevenage

£10 bet returns £120.60  with bet365. 18+ only GambleAware.co.uk

Open Account Offer
Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5 and 1x settled bet requirement to release Bet Credits. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.